Investing in Volatility to Hedge Equities

Volatility in the equity market has returned in 2018, particularly compared to last year’s calm markets. When volatility increases investors face a conundrum: try to ride out the market swings or sell to reduce equity exposure. Neither tends to be a good option. Trying to ride out the market volatility puts investors at risk for significant losses. And lowering equity exposure reduces risk but sacrifices significant upside gains should the markets start to rise.

A downside protection strategy

Utilizing asset allocation and diversification is not enough during times of market stress. These solutions tend to fail because asset classes tend to drop together during large downturns. Investors need to seek and evaluate other risk control solutions – specifically, those that focus explicitly on downside protection.

One such downside protection strategy involves investing in products that provide exposure to volatility itself. While volatility is a statistical measure that indicates how much the markets fluctuate, it is possible to “invest in volatility” to realize gains when market volatility increases and vice versa.

Implied volatility hedges largest equity down days

Investing in Volatility through options

The purchase of S&P 500 Index options is one approach to invest in volatility, also known as being “long” volatility.1 Increased volatility makes options more valuable by raising the chances of the option being “in the money.”

Implied volatility reflects the market’s perception of the future volatility of the option’s underlying security (i.e. the S&P 500 Index). Implied volatility is embedded in the price of the option – it is a key variable that determines the option’s price. In general, volatility increases as markets decline which typically causes observed implied volatilities to increase as options become more valuable.

Thus, an investment in implied volatility (through options) is a highly effective, negatively-correlated asset to the equity markets when investors most need protection– when markets are declining.Investing in volatility can hedge equities

Buying options to achieve an investment in volatility can provide valuable protection against downturns but options will also decay in value simply with the passage of time. Implied volatilities can also decline during periods of rising, low-volatility equity markets. The key requirement to implementing downside protection is appropriate sizing and seeking a good balance between (i) providing meaningful protection in downturns and (ii) anticipated costs in stable or rising markets.

Disclosure: AnchorPath maintains long volatility exposure through portfolios of index-based S&P 500 options in its fund strategies.

1 Capturing the pure volatility aspect of the index option purchases requires hedging the other pricing variables such as movements in the S&P 500 and interest rates.

2 The change in implied volatility is an approximation that reflects the change of the implied volatility of an S&P 500 Index option that when purchased had a 2-year expiration and strike equal to the S&P index, referred to as at-the-money.

3 The S&P 500 Index options had a 2-year expiration and an at-the-money strike.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice. This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any securities, products or services or to adopt any investment strategy. The material is subject to further review and revision. Opinions expressed are as of July 2018, may change at any time for any reason and the author’s opinions do not necessarily reflect the views of AnchorPath Financial, LLC.

In preparing this material, AnchorPath has relied on information which is publicly available and sources believed to be reliable. This information has not been independently verified by AnchorPath and is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to accuracy. AnchorPath makes no representation that any funds, products or services are suitable or appropriate for the recipient. Recipients must make their own independent decisions and investigation regarding any strategies, securities or financial instruments. As such, AnchorPath and its directors, officers, employees, agents and consultants make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of this material, and accept no liability for any loss or damage as a result of any errors or omissions in this material or otherwise arising in connection with it.

This material may contain certain forward-looking statements such as forecasts, estimates, projections and opinions. AnchorPath makes no representation that any forward-looking statement will be achieved or will prove to be correct. Any discussion of risks contained herein with respect to any product or service should not be considered to be a disclosure or complete discussion of risks.

Index returns do not reflect transaction costs, fees and expenses that would otherwise reduce performance. It is not possible to invest in an index.


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